Race 9B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 21.6% 18.4% 16.0% 15.2% 11.5% 9.5% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Killian Corbishley 13.0% 13.2% 14.6% 16.0% 13.7% 14.0% 9.9% 4.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Leeds Pierce 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.9% 6.7% 12.7% 34.2% 35.2%
Amanda Tooker 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 4.0% 8.3% 11.2% 16.9% 26.3% 17.8% 6.0%
Michelle Czarnecki 4.0% 4.7% 4.4% 7.3% 7.5% 10.2% 19.3% 23.1% 15.5% 4.0%
Corina Radtke 15.9% 15.9% 16.0% 15.8% 13.4% 11.6% 7.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Brooke Lyon 9.0% 11.2% 11.8% 15.2% 17.2% 14.8% 12.2% 6.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Erica Lush 7.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.3% 14.2% 15.2% 16.5% 11.6% 2.7% 0.6%
Lauren Turner 25.5% 21.7% 19.0% 14.0% 9.8% 6.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 8.7% 25.5% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.