← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+0.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California-0.48+4.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii0.51+1.44vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.11-1.22vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-0.48vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+0.03vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.39-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.35Stanford University3.3072.4%1st Place
-
6.03University of Southern California-0.481.7%1st Place
-
4.44University of Hawaii0.514.7%1st Place
-
3.96University of California at Berkeley0.745.6%1st Place
-
3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.088.8%1st Place
-
4.78University of Washington0.114.1%1st Place
-
6.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.5%1st Place
-
8.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
-
6.51Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 72.4% | 21.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 8.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.7% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.6% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.8% | 24.5% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 23.8% | 14.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 60.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.