Race 4A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Julia Gowell 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 9.7% 11.0% 16.5% 16.1% 10.1% 4.2%
Miranda Bakos 11.8% 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% 11.3% 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 8.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Hannah Hughes 8.0% 9.6% 10.7% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 11.1% 11.4% 8.4% 6.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.7% 13.5% 12.2% 12.0% 11.1% 11.7% 9.4% 6.7% 5.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Carolyn Smith 19.8% 16.9% 14.3% 12.9% 11.3% 9.3% 5.8% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Mason 5.8% 4.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.3% 8.7% 11.3% 12.3% 11.7% 10.5% 4.9% 1.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 13.4% 10.5% 11.3% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 10.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Amanda Attardi 4.7% 5.6% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 7.9% 10.6% 9.4% 13.5% 13.3% 10.3% 5.0% 1.5%
Victoria Restivo 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 5.9% 9.5% 16.7% 28.7% 20.1%
Nicole Edwards 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 11.2% 20.8% 24.9% 16.1%
Quinn Howes 5.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 12.4% 10.6% 10.3% 9.7% 6.8% 2.7% 0.5%
Heather Grosso 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.8% 8.8% 20.2% 56.0%
Bailey Carter 11.3% 12.2% 10.5% 12.5% 12.7% 9.8% 8.3% 9.9% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.