Race 5A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carolyn Smith 18.9% 15.7% 15.3% 14.4% 10.6% 7.7% 8.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Hughes 8.1% 10.8% 9.6% 9.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 8.6% 7.1% 2.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Bailey Carter 11.2% 12.6% 12.9% 11.5% 10.6% 10.5% 11.3% 7.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 12.1% 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 11.0% 9.2% 10.0% 7.8% 8.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Mason 6.5% 4.9% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 10.0% 13.6% 10.6% 9.6% 4.5% 1.3%
Nicole Edwards 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 8.2% 9.3% 18.8% 27.7% 15.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 14.7% 13.5% 13.6% 10.7% 10.6% 10.9% 7.8% 7.5% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 11.4% 13.1% 11.2% 11.4% 11.1% 12.2% 9.5% 8.8% 5.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 6.4% 6.0% 7.8% 6.4% 8.7% 8.9% 10.0% 13.2% 10.2% 11.1% 7.3% 3.5% 0.5%
Julia Gowell 4.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 6.3% 5.8% 7.3% 9.3% 11.2% 16.3% 14.5% 10.6% 4.0%
Victoria Restivo 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 1.7% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 6.5% 11.0% 19.8% 25.1% 18.3%
Amanda Attardi 4.1% 5.7% 4.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.1% 9.8% 11.4% 15.5% 10.7% 6.7% 1.3%
Heather Grosso 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 1.8% 3.8% 10.7% 17.6% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.