Race 6A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miranda Bakos 11.3% 11.0% 13.8% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.3% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 5.6% 8.3% 12.3% 16.8% 16.6% 10.4% 3.2%
Adelaide Ferguson 10.5% 13.0% 10.9% 11.3% 12.0% 11.1% 9.4% 8.3% 6.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Grace Mason 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.8% 11.9% 11.6% 13.0% 9.3% 5.1% 1.0%
Carolyn Smith 19.6% 18.1% 14.3% 12.7% 11.0% 7.0% 6.4% 4.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Hughes 9.5% 9.3% 9.7% 10.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.1% 9.4% 7.4% 7.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Nicole Edwards 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 5.1% 4.9% 7.7% 10.7% 17.5% 25.9% 14.6%
Bailey Carter 13.0% 12.4% 11.9% 11.8% 11.1% 9.6% 11.2% 7.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.8% 13.2% 12.8% 11.8% 11.5% 10.5% 8.3% 7.9% 6.5% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 6.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.0% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 7.5% 4.3% 0.8%
Amanda Attardi 4.7% 4.3% 5.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.3% 12.4% 12.2% 9.7% 4.9% 1.4%
Victoria Restivo 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 9.0% 19.0% 26.6% 21.7%
Heather Grosso 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 4.8% 9.1% 19.6% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.