Race 7A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.7% 13.7% 13.9% 11.2% 11.7% 10.6% 9.5% 6.2% 5.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 11.2% 11.4% 12.3% 12.1% 12.1% 9.3% 10.1% 7.1% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Nicole Edwards 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 4.3% 6.3% 6.7% 12.2% 16.4% 28.1% 16.4%
Grace Mason 4.9% 5.9% 4.6% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 10.5% 10.6% 11.7% 12.2% 9.9% 5.5% 0.7%
Bailey Carter 13.4% 12.5% 13.1% 10.8% 10.3% 11.3% 8.7% 7.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 6.4% 6.9% 7.8% 7.2% 8.7% 9.9% 9.5% 12.1% 11.1% 9.2% 8.2% 2.4% 0.6%
Hannah Hughes 10.4% 9.3% 10.3% 8.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.2% 10.6% 10.6% 5.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Carolyn Smith 18.0% 17.6% 13.8% 14.2% 12.0% 9.9% 6.4% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 4.7% 5.3% 4.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 10.1% 12.4% 10.4% 13.5% 10.7% 5.3% 1.7%
Adelaide Ferguson 12.9% 11.2% 12.1% 13.5% 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 8.4% 6.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Victoria Restivo 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 3.9% 4.4% 4.0% 8.2% 10.1% 15.8% 27.8% 18.2%
Julia Gowell 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 3.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.4% 9.0% 11.6% 15.2% 18.6% 10.3% 3.6%
Heather Grosso 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 2.2% 2.1% 5.6% 9.2% 17.5% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.