Race 8A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Quinn Howes 6.0% 5.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.7% 13.3% 10.9% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Bailey Carter 12.8% 10.4% 13.0% 11.9% 12.7% 10.2% 8.7% 8.0% 5.6% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 9.7% 13.5% 11.3% 10.7% 10.5% 11.8% 10.2% 8.8% 7.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Mason 4.9% 6.2% 4.3% 6.0% 8.9% 9.1% 9.2% 11.1% 13.5% 11.4% 10.1% 4.5% 0.8%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 14.6% 12.9% 13.3% 11.6% 10.5% 10.0% 9.9% 7.4% 5.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 4.7% 6.3% 5.4% 6.0% 7.1% 8.5% 9.3% 12.0% 11.2% 11.5% 11.5% 5.7% 0.8%
Adelaide Ferguson 13.5% 11.2% 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 10.4% 10.4% 7.5% 6.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Julia Gowell 3.0% 4.3% 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 5.5% 6.9% 9.8% 12.3% 15.4% 15.2% 10.9% 2.9%
Hannah Hughes 9.1% 8.1% 10.0% 10.5% 9.1% 11.3% 10.5% 9.4% 8.7% 7.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Nicole Edwards 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.7% 6.7% 11.6% 17.8% 26.2% 16.5%
Carolyn Smith 19.3% 18.4% 15.1% 14.1% 10.5% 8.0% 6.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Victoria Restivo 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 5.8% 9.5% 18.1% 26.5% 21.5%
Heather Grosso 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.8% 4.9% 9.5% 20.2% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.