Race 9A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adelaide Ferguson 12.4% 11.4% 12.1% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3% 11.4% 7.7% 5.5% 3.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.7% 10.6% 8.4% 10.0% 7.3% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 10.2% 11.1% 13.6% 11.1% 11.1% 9.7% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 4.9% 5.1% 4.4% 6.7% 7.7% 9.4% 9.2% 10.4% 11.6% 14.0% 9.1% 5.9% 1.6%
Hannah Hughes 8.6% 12.1% 7.8% 9.9% 11.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 7.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Grace Mason 5.2% 5.6% 6.6% 6.7% 8.9% 7.6% 9.0% 10.4% 12.7% 11.6% 10.1% 4.7% 0.9%
Bailey Carter 13.3% 11.5% 12.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.3% 9.4% 9.5% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 3.4% 4.4% 8.1% 6.1% 8.7% 13.4% 15.3% 15.4% 10.1% 2.9%
Nicole Edwards 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 6.7% 11.1% 19.3% 23.9% 18.0%
Carolyn Smith 20.1% 17.0% 15.0% 11.9% 8.4% 10.5% 6.6% 4.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.7% 5.3% 10.0% 20.1% 53.3%
Quinn Howes 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.7% 8.0% 8.8% 12.1% 13.3% 9.3% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Victoria Restivo 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 4.4% 6.0% 11.1% 16.6% 27.5% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.