Race 11A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bailey Carter 11.6% 13.1% 11.7% 10.4% 13.1% 10.7% 9.0% 8.0% 6.3% 2.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Amanda Attardi 4.5% 4.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 11.3% 13.9% 12.2% 11.0% 5.0% 1.3%
Hannah Hughes 7.9% 9.8% 9.1% 11.1% 9.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 8.9% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Adelaide Ferguson 12.7% 10.6% 13.3% 12.2% 10.2% 10.8% 9.0% 8.1% 6.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 15.1% 13.4% 11.9% 11.6% 11.8% 10.3% 9.5% 5.8% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 12.1% 11.8% 13.3% 10.3% 11.1% 10.4% 9.5% 7.6% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 18.3% 17.8% 14.6% 13.3% 11.9% 7.3% 6.8% 6.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Mason 4.9% 6.1% 5.9% 8.3% 6.2% 8.3% 10.3% 10.8% 13.1% 12.1% 8.8% 4.7% 0.5%
Quinn Howes 5.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 10.5% 11.2% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Julia Gowell 3.9% 3.8% 3.1% 3.8% 5.6% 6.6% 6.4% 10.4% 10.5% 15.9% 15.2% 10.8% 4.0%
Victoria Restivo 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 7.8% 11.5% 17.1% 26.7% 17.9%
Nicole Edwards 1.3% 1.0% 2.5% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 6.7% 10.8% 18.0% 27.9% 16.7%
Heather Grosso 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 3.9% 9.7% 18.9% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.