Race 12A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adelaide Ferguson 11.9% 12.3% 11.3% 11.2% 12.2% 11.0% 8.8% 8.4% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Bailey Carter 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 12.3% 11.8% 10.2% 9.3% 8.8% 6.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Hannah Hughes 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.3% 9.8% 11.8% 10.2% 10.1% 10.0% 6.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Miranda Bakos 11.8% 10.7% 12.4% 11.3% 11.2% 9.4% 11.1% 9.4% 6.8% 3.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Carolyn Smith 19.9% 16.3% 14.5% 12.3% 10.9% 9.9% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.2% 14.4% 12.8% 12.6% 11.9% 8.9% 8.0% 8.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.9% 11.6% 10.0% 7.1% 3.1% 0.4%
Grace Mason 4.9% 6.5% 5.7% 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% 11.3% 12.2% 11.3% 12.4% 9.8% 4.2% 0.7%
Julia Gowell 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 6.8% 8.7% 12.5% 15.2% 15.8% 11.6% 3.9%
Nicole Edwards 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 7.5% 11.8% 16.6% 26.3% 17.3%
Victoria Restivo 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 3.3% 5.1% 3.8% 6.1% 12.6% 19.4% 25.4% 16.6%
Amanda Attardi 4.9% 4.1% 5.3% 6.4% 8.1% 8.4% 8.2% 9.8% 12.0% 13.4% 11.4% 6.3% 1.7%
Heather Grosso 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 3.1% 8.7% 19.5% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.