Race 13A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miranda Bakos 12.2% 9.8% 12.8% 10.7% 12.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.0% 8.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Hannah Hughes 8.0% 10.0% 9.3% 10.5% 9.9% 11.0% 11.5% 8.5% 8.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.6%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.0% 13.7% 13.0% 11.2% 11.6% 11.3% 9.1% 7.1% 6.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Carolyn Smith 18.3% 17.8% 14.7% 13.4% 10.8% 8.0% 6.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 5.7% 5.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 8.8% 10.4% 12.4% 12.5% 10.8% 5.6% 1.1%
Julia Gowell 3.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 8.4% 10.2% 16.4% 15.9% 11.5% 2.9%
Grace Mason 5.5% 6.2% 8.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.1% 9.8% 11.4% 11.3% 13.8% 10.0% 4.0% 0.6%
Bailey Carter 12.4% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 11.1% 13.6% 9.2% 9.0% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 11.6% 11.9% 10.9% 12.3% 10.9% 10.7% 9.0% 8.0% 7.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 11.1% 11.0% 9.5% 7.4% 3.8% 0.9%
Nicole Edwards 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 5.7% 8.3% 10.9% 19.6% 24.4% 14.5%
Victoria Restivo 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 1.2% 2.9% 3.2% 5.8% 5.7% 9.1% 16.0% 29.1% 21.2%
Heather Grosso 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 4.9% 8.9% 18.9% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.