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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.16vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.83-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.30vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Stanford University2.8941.9%1st Place
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3.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.3%1st Place
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5.27University of Hawaii1.055.5%1st Place
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3.8University of Washington1.8313.7%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.7%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California0.906.3%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Berkeley0.865.8%1st Place
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6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.5%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 41.9% | 26.7% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 13.7% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 3.7% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 6.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 27.2% | 12.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.