Race 10B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 19.3% 21.8% 15.6% 15.1% 10.9% 9.3% 5.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Leeds Pierce 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 7.0% 13.5% 32.4% 35.3%
Brooke Lyon 10.3% 11.3% 10.7% 12.1% 16.3% 18.1% 12.1% 6.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Corina Radtke 14.8% 15.6% 16.9% 15.2% 15.1% 11.3% 7.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Amanda Tooker 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 6.2% 5.8% 8.9% 17.3% 25.3% 19.1% 5.4%
Killian Corbishley 14.0% 13.7% 14.9% 14.3% 15.3% 11.6% 10.1% 5.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Erica Lush 7.3% 7.8% 10.9% 12.2% 15.1% 17.8% 15.3% 9.1% 3.8% 0.7%
Michelle Czarnecki 2.9% 3.7% 5.4% 6.2% 7.1% 11.0% 18.1% 25.1% 16.1% 4.4%
Lauren Turner 26.6% 20.0% 18.4% 15.5% 10.3% 5.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 4.1% 10.0% 24.1% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.