Race 2B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amanda Stapp 7.2% 6.0% 7.6% 11.7% 8.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 12.6% 8.6% 5.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Rose Edwards 18.7% 18.0% 16.4% 13.4% 10.3% 9.2% 5.3% 4.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Greer Wattson 13.2% 15.3% 15.6% 10.9% 12.5% 11.4% 7.7% 6.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 18.6% 16.1% 14.8% 13.9% 11.2% 8.3% 6.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 11.4% 10.5% 11.0% 10.3% 12.0% 11.0% 11.6% 7.2% 7.0% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 7.6% 9.8% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.3% 10.5% 8.0% 7.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Hannah Cantolino 3.7% 3.0% 2.5% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 11.4% 15.5% 18.2% 11.2% 3.3%
Gillian Boehringer 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 6.9% 9.1% 9.7% 12.5% 12.4% 10.9% 8.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Lindsey Kloc 5.7% 5.9% 7.6% 6.8% 8.9% 9.3% 10.3% 11.2% 12.5% 10.9% 7.0% 3.7% 0.2%
Anna Louise Devanny 4.7% 5.2% 4.3% 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 9.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.8% 12.1% 5.9% 1.6%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 7.6% 11.7% 21.4% 24.9% 12.4%
Jessica Kurlander 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 4.7% 7.1% 18.6% 58.9%
Denby McDonnell 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 4.7% 5.5% 10.6% 16.0% 29.8% 22.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.