Race 3B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Cantolino 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 10.5% 16.5% 15.8% 10.5% 3.7%
Amanda Stapp 6.9% 7.1% 8.9% 8.6% 10.7% 11.3% 11.7% 9.9% 9.8% 8.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Lindsey Kloc 4.2% 6.8% 7.1% 9.3% 9.0% 10.6% 10.7% 11.6% 12.4% 9.7% 5.3% 3.0% 0.3%
Rose Edwards 20.0% 19.0% 15.3% 13.0% 11.1% 8.3% 7.1% 3.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 19.4% 17.7% 15.2% 12.6% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Greer Wattson 15.5% 15.7% 14.9% 13.4% 11.3% 10.1% 6.8% 5.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Claire Riedman 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 6.5% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0% 11.2% 12.4% 13.5% 13.1% 6.6% 1.7%
Mary Robertson 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 10.2% 10.5% 10.7% 12.6% 11.2% 9.0% 5.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Anna Louise Devanny 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.6% 8.4% 6.4% 10.4% 11.3% 12.7% 13.4% 10.6% 5.1% 1.0%
Olivia Windemuller 11.5% 9.6% 12.8% 12.7% 10.9% 9.3% 11.1% 8.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Denby McDonnell 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 7.3% 9.5% 17.8% 28.0% 18.0%
Jessica Kurlander 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 9.3% 16.5% 58.6%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 3.7% 3.4% 6.6% 7.4% 10.9% 17.8% 26.2% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.