Race 4B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amanda Stapp 6.9% 6.4% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 10.4% 9.4% 12.5% 10.9% 7.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Hannah Cantolino 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 6.1% 9.8% 11.4% 15.0% 16.3% 12.1% 3.0%
Mary Robertson 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 9.6% 11.6% 10.9% 13.4% 10.0% 8.8% 6.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Rose Edwards 20.0% 18.7% 15.4% 12.5% 10.7% 9.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Hannah McNomee 19.8% 17.1% 15.4% 13.2% 11.7% 8.0% 6.9% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 11.1% 11.9% 10.8% 12.1% 10.9% 14.1% 7.9% 7.3% 6.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Greer Wattson 16.4% 14.2% 14.7% 13.4% 11.6% 9.9% 7.9% 6.0% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Riedman 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 5.4% 9.2% 12.6% 13.8% 12.4% 13.1% 7.2% 0.9%
Lindsey Kloc 5.7% 6.4% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.1% 13.2% 9.8% 11.0% 11.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.6% 10.6% 18.0% 25.5% 15.4%
Denby McDonnell 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 3.7% 3.9% 5.5% 7.0% 10.8% 19.0% 25.0% 19.0%
Anna Louise Devanny 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 11.9% 12.8% 13.1% 8.6% 6.4% 1.5%
Jessica Kurlander 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.7% 4.6% 8.9% 17.8% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.