← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.83+7.46vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.14+3.22vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.76+0.78vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.70+1.18vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.67-2.11vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.27+0.27vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.19vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.34vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.74-3.87vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University-0.12-0.64vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University-0.51-0.83vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.46Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.22Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
3.78Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
-
4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
-
6.18Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
-
3.89George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
-
7.27University of Virginia1.270.1%1st Place
-
5.81U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
-
6.13Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
10.36Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.17Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
11.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 18.6% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Denby McDonnell | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 26.1% | 14.4% |
| Haley Collins | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 30.0% | 31.8% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 24.4% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.