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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+2.97vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+6.39vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+2.20vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76-0.21vs Predicted
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5Queen's University-0.12+5.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.70vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-3.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74-4.96vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51-0.80vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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8.39Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.2Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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3.79Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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10.25Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.3Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.2Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Denby McDonnell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 24.0% | 26.3% | 13.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Haley Collins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 31.0% | 30.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.