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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+2.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.21vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+3.07vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+2.53vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+3.18vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-2.42vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27-1.72vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.09-2.42vs Predicted
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11Queen's University-0.12-0.73vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51-0.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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8.18Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.58Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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7.58Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.27Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.12Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 17.6% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 16.2% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Claire Riedman | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Denby McDonnell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 22.8% | 25.1% | 14.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 30.9% | 30.7% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.