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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+2.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+1.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.76vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+3.22vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.27+0.10vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.51+2.93vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.09-1.26vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-3.55vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-6.11vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.30vs Predicted
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13Queen's University-0.12-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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3.68Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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8.22Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.98Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Virginia1.270.1%1st Place
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10.93Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.46Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 19.0% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 18.5% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Haley Collins | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 29.2% | 28.2% |
| Claire Riedman | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 50.3% |
| Denby McDonnell | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 21.6% | 26.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.