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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.27+5.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+0.72vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+2.20vs Predicted
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5Queen's University-0.12+5.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70-0.84vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-1.43vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.83-0.63vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.11-0.16vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.58vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.4University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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3.72Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.29Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.16Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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8.37Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.84Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.22Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 17.1% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.2% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Denby McDonnell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 21.6% | 45.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 10.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.