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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+2.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+4.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+0.72vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+2.17vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+3.41vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.26vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.74vs Predicted
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9Queen's University-0.12+1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.27-2.69vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-5.67vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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3.72Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.27Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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10.3Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.93Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 17.0% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.5% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Mary Robertson | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Denby McDonnell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 23.4% | 41.2% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 25.8% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.