← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.89+1.05vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.92-0.11vs Predicted
-
4Bates College2.43-0.43vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.43-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.03+0.20vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.21-1.13vs Predicted
-
9McGill University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
3.05Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
-
2.89Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
-
3.57Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
-
3.56Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
-
5.34Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.2Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
-
8.58McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Graef | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 20.7% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Albert Nichols | 26.7% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 16.2% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.1% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 21.0% | 7.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Knight | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 24.0% | 44.3% | 12.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 32.7% | 32.3% | 8.7% |
| John Kline | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.