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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.51+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.48+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.06vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.3074.9%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.086.9%1st Place
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4.39University of Hawaii0.514.5%1st Place
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6.09University of Southern California-0.481.6%1st Place
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4.77University of Washington0.114.0%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Berkeley0.744.9%1st Place
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6.49Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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6.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 74.9% | 19.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.9% | 24.9% | 24.0% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 8.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.9% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 13.9% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 24.7% | 14.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.