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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+1.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+3.47vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.70+2.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+1.00vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-2.40vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.83+1.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.39+0.13vs Predicted
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10Queen's University-0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-5.85vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.6Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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8.07Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.05Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.77Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 20.7% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 9.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 17.4% |
| Denby McDonnell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 38.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.