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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+4.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.24vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+0.64vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.83+4.26vs Predicted
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5Queen's University-0.12+5.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.39+2.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70-1.97vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74-3.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-3.64vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-5.84vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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3.64Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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8.26Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.05Queen's University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.1%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.79Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Robertson | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.7% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 9.0% |
| Denby McDonnell | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 38.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 19.1% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 22.2% | 17.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.