Race 13B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rose Edwards 19.3% 18.0% 15.3% 16.3% 10.6% 9.1% 5.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 6.6% 9.8% 11.0% 8.2% 11.1% 13.0% 11.2% 11.0% 8.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9%
Gillian Boehringer 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 8.8% 9.2% 10.4% 11.9% 12.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9%
Amanda Stapp 6.2% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 8.7% 12.3% 12.5% 12.0% 9.6% 7.1% 4.3% 0.8%
Lindsey Kloc 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 8.5% 10.4% 8.9% 11.4% 14.1% 10.5% 9.2% 6.2% 1.4%
Greer Wattson 15.9% 13.0% 15.8% 13.3% 13.7% 10.1% 8.3% 5.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 20.5% 17.3% 14.4% 12.7% 10.3% 9.4% 7.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Hannah Cantolino 2.5% 4.3% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.7% 10.5% 15.3% 15.6% 15.0% 9.1%
Denby McDonnell 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 4.7% 4.5% 9.1% 15.3% 22.1% 35.7%
Olivia Windemuller 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 13.6% 12.5% 10.5% 11.9% 7.2% 7.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 2.8% 3.8% 3.0% 6.7% 9.3% 14.5% 23.7% 30.7%
Colleen Roney 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 8.3% 10.8% 18.1% 21.0% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.