← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University1.63+1.37vs Predicted
-
2Wake Forest University0.05+3.38vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.31+3.24vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+0.71vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.01+0.67vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.42+0.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-1.21+1.07vs Predicted
-
8Vanderbilt University0.13-2.83vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-0.24-3.12vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina0.22-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.37Clemson University1.6337.0%1st Place
-
5.38Wake Forest University0.057.9%1st Place
-
6.24North Carolina State University-0.315.7%1st Place
-
4.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.3410.8%1st Place
-
5.67North Carolina State University0.016.7%1st Place
-
6.51Clemson University-0.425.3%1st Place
-
8.07University of Tennessee-1.212.1%1st Place
-
5.17Vanderbilt University0.138.5%1st Place
-
5.88University of North Carolina-0.246.9%1st Place
-
5.0University of North Carolina0.229.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ian Richardson | 37.0% | 26.3% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Quinn Healey | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
Adam Nilsson | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 10.8% |
Andrew Simpson | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
Lyla Solway | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
Anna Horton | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
Brady Mayer | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 43.5% |
Jack Schultz | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
Noah Jost | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.