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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 37.0% 26.3% 16.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Quinn Healey 7.9% 9.2% 10.4% 11.8% 12.0% 11.8% 11.9% 9.8% 9.8% 5.2%
Adam Nilsson 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.2% 10.4% 9.7% 11.8% 14.1% 15.0% 10.8%
Andrew Simpson 10.8% 12.6% 12.3% 13.1% 14.0% 11.1% 10.1% 7.8% 6.0% 2.2%
Lyla Solway 6.7% 8.5% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 12.0% 12.6% 13.7% 9.8% 6.2%
Anna Horton 5.3% 4.9% 7.2% 7.7% 8.7% 11.6% 10.5% 13.9% 15.6% 14.6%
Brady Mayer 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 10.4% 15.7% 43.5%
Jack Schultz 8.5% 11.6% 11.5% 10.8% 11.3% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 8.2% 4.1%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 6.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.8% 8.9% 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 12.3% 9.5%
Noah Jost 9.2% 10.3% 12.2% 13.6% 13.0% 11.8% 10.4% 8.3% 7.3% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.