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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+1.93vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.32+2.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.92-1.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-2.42vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.21-0.11vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.03-0.85vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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3.79Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.43Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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2.82Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.58Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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7.15Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.58McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 24.9% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 23.1% | 8.1% | 0.7% |
| Albert Nichols | 26.3% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Graef | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.3% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 30.3% | 36.0% | 7.2% |
| Alex Knight | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 25.1% | 39.8% | 13.1% |
| John Kline | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.