Race 2A

midweek-fly-10-22

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Madeleine Whittier 3.4% 5.7% 5.4% 6.7% 5.6% 6.1% 4.8% 6.7% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 7.0% 5.6% 3.9%
Kurran Singh 7.3% 8.4% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 8.0% 7.0% 8.0% 6.9% 8.1% 5.7% 4.4% 5.3% 2.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Evan Gregory 7.9% 7.2% 6.4% 7.3% 7.7% 7.2% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 5.2% 4.4% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9%
Owen Beringer 9.8% 10.8% 9.5% 9.2% 10.5% 9.0% 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 5.3% 4.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Christopher Keller 12.9% 12.4% 11.9% 11.2% 8.7% 9.4% 7.3% 6.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Xia 5.3% 4.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.5% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.2%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.0% 6.0% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 6.8% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 6.0% 4.5% 2.0%
John Zupkus 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 5.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 10.0% 10.6% 13.1% 11.6%
Robert Rose 16.1% 15.0% 12.6% 9.8% 10.3% 9.0% 8.6% 4.8% 4.4% 4.0% 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Jeremy Kalas 3.4% 4.6% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 10.2% 6.2%
John Duncan 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 5.6% 5.9% 3.4% 6.3% 6.8% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.5% 9.0% 6.1% 3.6%
Simon Bertocci 7.3% 5.9% 6.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.8% 7.9% 6.0% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4%
Samuel Wright 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 3.1% 5.1% 3.9% 5.2% 5.5% 5.2% 7.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.9% 11.5% 9.7% 9.2%
Sarah Caso 7.7% 5.7% 7.8% 8.1% 7.7% 7.1% 9.1% 8.4% 7.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 4.7% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9%
Jamila Smith-Dell 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 7.0% 11.9% 17.1% 26.6%
Kristina Schneider 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.9% 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 7.8% 10.0% 18.1% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.