Race 4A

midweek-fly-10-22

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sarah Caso 6.1% 7.8% 9.2% 6.7% 7.7% 8.1% 6.1% 8.8% 6.6% 8.4% 4.4% 6.4% 6.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1%
Andrew Xia 5.4% 9.0% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.8% 8.1% 5.9% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.4% 5.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 9.9% 6.9% 7.3% 5.2% 3.4% 2.1%
Owen Beringer 10.8% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 6.6% 5.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Kurran Singh 6.9% 8.5% 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 7.5% 5.9% 6.1% 8.4% 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Madeleine Whittier 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 6.0% 5.8% 6.5% 7.2% 5.5% 7.4% 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.0% 6.2% 4.6%
Robert Rose 15.5% 13.3% 13.5% 10.8% 8.7% 8.8% 7.9% 5.9% 5.0% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 4.4% 5.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 5.4% 8.7% 10.0% 8.4% 6.7% 7.2% 3.3%
Samuel Wright 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.6% 8.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 9.4%
Simon Bertocci 6.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 5.4% 4.6% 5.2% 1.9% 1.4%
Christopher Keller 14.2% 11.6% 11.3% 10.9% 9.8% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 5.5% 5.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy Kalas 4.0% 3.4% 2.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 8.1% 9.4% 9.2% 9.7% 8.6%
Kristina Schneider 1.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 3.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 8.5% 12.2% 16.3% 28.9%
Evan Gregory 7.5% 7.3% 8.8% 6.6% 8.6% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 8.0% 7.7% 6.3% 5.2% 4.9% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9%
John Zupkus 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 3.9% 7.2% 5.1% 8.5% 9.1% 12.1% 16.0% 11.5%
Jamila Smith-Dell 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 6.9% 8.0% 11.0% 18.1% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.