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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.35+3.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+3.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.66+4.04vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00+1.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+2.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.08+2.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+2.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.33-0.81vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84+0.07vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-3.70vs Predicted
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12Bentley University0.02+0.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.52-6.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-3.73vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-5.90vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.11-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Northeastern University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.0%1st Place
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7.3Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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12.58Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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11.1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Rose | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Owen Beringer | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Xia | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Caso | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| John Duncan | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Wright | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Evan Gregory | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Kristina Schneider | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 31.6% |
| Simon Bertocci | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 24.5% |
| John Zupkus | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.