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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+6.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+10.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+5.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.76vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+2.38vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-4.70vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.76-1.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.86vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-8.59vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.12Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.68Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 30.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Amina Brown | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.