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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.96vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+3.85vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+1.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.01vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.76+2.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-4.40vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.23vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.49vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.90vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-4.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-11.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.85University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.59Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.23Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.51Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 30.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.