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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.35vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.39+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.51+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74-1.16vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.48-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.11-3.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Stanford University3.3072.4%1st Place
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6.33Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii0.515.2%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.088.0%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Berkeley0.747.2%1st Place
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6.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.800.9%1st Place
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6.06University of Southern California-0.481.6%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.113.2%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 72.4% | 21.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 11.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.0% | 23.9% | 22.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.2% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 24.1% | 15.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 9.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 17.5% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.