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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+1.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.92-0.11vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.32+0.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-2.42vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.03+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.21-1.16vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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4.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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3.54Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.3Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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3.58Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.84University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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8.57McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 24.3% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Albert Nichols | 25.5% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 16.7% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 26.2% | 20.7% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.0% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Knight | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 9.0% | 23.4% | 44.8% | 11.6% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 31.9% | 32.7% | 8.2% |
| John Kline | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.