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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.52vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.78vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+5.99vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+3.99vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-5.02vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-3.82vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.54vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.76-1.28vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-1.61vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-4.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.72Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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13.39Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 29.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.