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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.26vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.79vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.98vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.57vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-0.42vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-0.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.76-1.29vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-6.06vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.83vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.71Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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13.49Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.