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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+6.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.04vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.55vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76+4.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.92vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.23vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.48vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.21-7.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.76vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.05-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.34Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.02Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.52Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 29.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.