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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+2.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.94vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-0.32vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.76+3.73vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.74vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-0.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-9.91vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.73Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.36Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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13.45Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 19.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 27.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.