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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+7.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+8.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.840.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+4.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.39vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-2.27vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.61vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-4.75vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-4.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.85vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.76-2.48vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.50vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.31Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.52Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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13.5Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 20.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 29.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.