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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+7.80vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+10.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.04vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+4.35vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.21vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-2.01vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.65vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-2.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.52-5.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.54vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.94Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 42.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Mary Paz | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Marly Isler | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.