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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+6.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.32vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.52+6.19vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+5.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.80vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+4.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.07+2.19vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.43vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-1.28vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-2.91vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-1.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.16vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-7.07vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.02-8.76vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.26Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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14.08Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Paz | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.