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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.07+8.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+5.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.04vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+4.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+3.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76-0.54vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-0.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-3.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.98vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.95vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-5.85vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.88vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.02-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.05Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.3Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Marly Isler | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 43.5% |
| Caroline Downey | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.