← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.99+6.15vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.76+6.13vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.50+6.27vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.97vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.54+3.95vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.44+2.54vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.84-0.18vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.23vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.36-0.30vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.65-2.09vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.02-4.75vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.33-2.82vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.07-2.79vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.52-5.83vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.02-4.75vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.15-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.13Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.27Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.95Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.54Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.7Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.91Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.25Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.18Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
11.21University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.17Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
11.25Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
-
14.11Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.