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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+2.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.96vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.32+1.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.92-2.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.89-3.14vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.21-0.08vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.03-0.85vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.76Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.29Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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2.86Bowdoin College2.890.3%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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7.15Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.59McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.5% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 12.2% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 28.1% | 20.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Albert Nichols | 28.3% | 23.2% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 25.5% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 31.4% | 35.9% | 7.4% |
| Alex Knight | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 24.4% | 40.7% | 13.0% |
| John Kline | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.