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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+7.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+3.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+4.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+3.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02+1.07vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-2.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.05vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-3.60vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.64vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.44-6.37vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Mary Paz | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.