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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+7.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+8.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+2.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-0.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52+0.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.07+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-5.66vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-3.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.68vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.87vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.54-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.42Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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14.13Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Marly Isler | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Mary Paz | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 43.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.