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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+7.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+9.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+3.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+4.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+0.30vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+5.75vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.07+2.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.71vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.68vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-4.16vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-4.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.50vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.08Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.75Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 43.3% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.