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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+3.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+5.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+4.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.44+2.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+0.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+0.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.07-1.04vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.60vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15+0.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.52-5.76vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-6.02vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.96Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.09Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% |
| Marly Isler | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 45.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.