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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.48vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.07+4.01vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-0.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+1.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.18vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.55vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+2.02vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.59vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-2.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-7.78vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.44-6.38vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.54-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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14.02Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.41Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.34Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 44.7% |
| Marly Isler | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Mary Paz | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.