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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.51+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.48-0.98vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Stanford University3.3071.7%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.089.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii0.513.8%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Berkeley0.746.6%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington0.114.0%1st Place
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6.32Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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6.02University of Southern California-0.481.8%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.3%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 71.7% | 21.4% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.2% | 24.6% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.0% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 24.8% | 10.2% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 8.3% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 27.9% | 14.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.