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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+2.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.92-0.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.14vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89-2.12vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.66vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.03+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.21-1.12vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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3.76Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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2.88Bowdoin College2.890.3%1st Place
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5.34Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.88University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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8.58McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Albert Nichols | 24.9% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 13.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 26.9% | 23.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 28.9% | 21.2% | 8.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Knight | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 24.2% | 44.3% | 11.9% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 32.1% | 32.6% | 8.7% |
| John Kline | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.