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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+1.94vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+1.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.92-0.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.32+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.21+0.87vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.07vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.03-0.82vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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3.8Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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3.54Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.29Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.87University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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3.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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7.18Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.57McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 24.6% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 13.2% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Albert Nichols | 25.7% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 16.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 26.4% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 33.6% | 34.2% | 7.0% |
| Richard Graef | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Knight | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 24.9% | 41.8% | 12.8% |
| John Kline | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 11.4% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.