Race 12A

top-fall-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vivian Bonsager 6.2% 7.7% 9.8% 10.1% 12.2% 15.0% 17.6% 17.0% 4.3%
Morgana Manti 5.9% 8.6% 8.4% 11.5% 13.1% 16.1% 17.8% 14.5% 4.2%
Reade Decker 41.9% 26.8% 15.3% 8.5% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Stone 13.0% 16.9% 16.5% 16.6% 13.7% 11.2% 7.6% 4.0% 0.5%
Nicholas Mueller 13.2% 15.4% 16.4% 17.1% 13.4% 11.9% 7.6% 4.1% 0.9%
Will Cornell 7.7% 9.4% 11.6% 13.9% 15.4% 14.3% 14.5% 10.2% 2.9%
Henry Boeger 8.3% 10.3% 15.0% 14.3% 15.7% 15.0% 11.9% 8.1% 1.4%
Robert Bloomfield 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 8.9% 10.8% 17.2% 29.9% 15.2%
Conrad Kistler 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 12.2% 70.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.