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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+10.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+5.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.57vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-0.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.49vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68-0.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.65vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-7.55vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-7.24vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.72-2.78vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.26University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 12.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 23.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.